What-If scenarios
The six single-knob stress tests and what each one models.
What-If scenarios are pre-built single-knob stress tests. Each one perturbs exactly one input on top of your saved simulation and re-runs the engine. They are non-destructive overlays. Your baseline inputs don't change.
The six scenarios
Equity Drop at Retirement
A one-time equity-only haircut applied in your retirement year. Use it to model a sequence-of- returns shock right when you start drawing down. Slider range is 0% to -60%.
Asset Return Lower
Persistently reduces equity returns across the entire simulation. This is the "what if the long-run average is just lower than history?" knob. The entire return distribution shifts down. Slider range is 0% to -50%.
Inflation Higher
Adds (or subtracts) a constant percentage to inflation for every year of the simulation. Slider range is -10% to +10%. Only one inflation scenario can be active at a time.
Inflation Spike
Adds an inflation bump to the first five years only, then returns to historical inflation. Models a near-term shock without permanent damage. Slider range is -10% to +10%.
Social Security Reduced
Cuts every Social Security payment by a percentage. Models the often-discussed scenario in which trust-fund depletion forces a benefit reduction. Disabled if you don't have a Social Security adjustment configured. Slider range is 0% to -75%.
Capital Gains Increase
Replaces the long-term capital gains tax rate (currently 15%) with a different value. Useful for stress-testing portfolios that depend heavily on a taxable brokerage drawdown. Slider range is 0% to 50%.
Related
For sim-specific issues, open Plan Diagnostics from the Proof view. For everything else, reach out to support.